Multi-criteria policy scenarios analysis for public management of irrigated agriculture

Laura Riesgo, José A. Gómez-Limón


In this paper we present a methodological approach to analyze the combination of different agricultural policy and irrigation water pricing alternatives. For this purpose we take into account that farmers consider a broad set of criteria at the same time when making decisions. Thus, policy scenario simulations are done trough multi-criteria mathematical programming models capable to simulate farmers’ future behaviour. For this purpose we have opted for models developed within the Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT). It is also worth noting that results obtained from the simulation models are not only related with farmers’ decision variables (crop mixes). A set of relevant economic, social and environmental attributes related to public objectives are also obtained as a way of measuring the efficiency of the policy scenarios proposed. The results obtained show the usefulness of this methodological approach to evaluate the combined pressures and impacts of both policies.


Multiple-Criteria modelling; Irrigated agriculture; Scenario analysis; CAP; Water policy

Subject classification

Q25, Q15, C61.

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