Hydro-economic modeling of the climate change and politics effects in Andean agriculture





Andean agriculture, Hydro-economic, Climate change


Climate change has been affecting agriculture activities, particularly, in the Andean Region, given its high level of exposure, sensitivity and low adaptive capacity. The adaptive response of Andean agriculture to a variation in water availability due to climate change was evaluated. For this, a hydro-economic model was developed that integrates two modules: hydrological modeling based on SWAT and an economic optimization model based on PMP. There is a high agricultural vulnerability to climate change, situation that could be reversed through the application of an agricultural policy based on the efficient use of water.


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Author Biographies

Marianella Crispin Cunya, Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina ; Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos

Escuela de Postgrado. Programa Doctorado de Economía de los Recursos Naturales y Desarrollo Sustentable, Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina.

Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos. 

Roberto Daniel Ponce Oliva, Universidad del Desarrollo ; Center of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES) ; Water Research Center for Agriculture and Mining

Facultad de Economía y Negocios. Universidad del Desarrollo. 

Center of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES). 

Water Research Center for Agriculture and Mining.

Eric Rendon Schneir, Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina

Escuela de Postgrado. Programa Doctorado de Economía de los Recursos Naturales y Desarrollo Sustentable.

Esteban Eduardo Arias Montevechio, Universidad Católica de la Ssma. Concepción

Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Administrativas


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